Follow your Passion ..

Yesterday i saw this wonderfull video which shows a person started a dance party in ‘Sasquatch music festival 2009′

The video shows how a dancer is enjoying himself throughly in his own weird dance sequence. The beauty of this video is that even though the dance moves made by him sound weird at the first glance .. the fact that the guy is throughly enjoying himself makes it interesting. In fact some people first check him out and then slowly but surely many people join him .. and eventually we see that the whole stadium joins into this dance revolution.

But the video does no show  that this person was dancing for more than 2 hours before he was joined by his first partner as shown in the video . So this guy really believed that people would follow him eventually hence continued to dance around for 2 hours !

I think this little video has a secret which i believe is the key to understand why some people are super sucessfull in their life. This has been something which i have always observed all my life whenever i meet or read about successful people.

The secret lies in the fact that if you are passionate of something and then they start working on your passion in a whole hearted manner , then success will be yours. I call this mantra as “Follow Your Passion”

Follow your Passion Explained

In fact most successful people start off like the dancer in the video which is attached , they start by working on things/ideas which they are passionate about . In fact when you meet these sucessfull guys they seem like ordinary guys , but what makes them stand apart is the drive with which they are putting efforts towards their passion/idea. Even though things may not be going their way in the initial stages they will put all their efforts on it . In fact they fight several rounds by self doubt by believing in their own ideas and njoying themselves along the way.

The dancer in this video also goes through this phase where he is alone (watch the full version) where he is just dancing by himself.. and then eventually he finds one follower who joins him and slowly we see that the whole stadium joins him..

So this video shows that if you follow your passion for a long time you will eventually find sucess in your life. Would like to highlight this with an example of Captain Gopinath .

Not many of you know that Captain Gopinath started off his career in the army and then after 6 years in Army he decided to do some unusual things.He took up farming in a barren land in Hassan: The land when he started was untenable and people thought he was crazy to take up farming. But Gopinath was passionate about his idea that farming can be sustainable and then over the next 10 years he made this untenable piece of land into an award winning farm. In fact not many know that he has won Rolex award for Developing new farming techniques ! See that he was sucessfull in making his idea a reality , but note that this was not achieved in 1 year , but took him 10 longs years to reach where he is now. This is what i mean by ‘Follow Your Passion’ and then eventually you will be sucessfull .. there will be moments of trouble but eventually u will be sucessfull.

Orginally published on my blog smellthecheeseblog.com was was hacked so reposting here !

Retirement Planning – Have you thought it through ?

This is one of my older articles which i republishing this for the reference of people .

Retirement Planning – Have you thought it through ?

Yesterday during lunch we had an interesting discussion on the need for retirement planning and this is a topic which on my mind for a long time and have been considering different options and tools to arrive at a solution for retirement planning. Realizing that most of us think that retirement is too far away why should i plan for it type of mindset i decided that i should bring awareness about this topic and this article attempts to do the same by considering my own personal example to arrive at a decent plan for retirement . What is retirement ? I believe it means many things to different people . To simplify the definition i would keep it as a state where one is not working in a regular full time job and you would spent your time with things that u are passionate about without having to worry about day to day needs from being taken care of. As the tagline of ICICI Prudential says -> ‘Retirement Matlab World’s Best Jobs’ , do the best job without worrying about financial consequences. Given this as a definition lets get down to do the retirement planning for Mr Joe.

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Name : Mr Pradeep – 30 YEARS

Monthly Expenses : 25 ,000 Rs (excluding the cost of housing).

Retirement Possibilities : 40 YEARS or 50 YEARS (Lets calculate for both)

Average Inflation over the next 10 to 20 years: 6%.

Monthly Expenses at Age 40 : Using inflation of 6% , it would be around 45,000 Rs.

Due to inflation the value of money comes down , so what costs Rs 25k now would cost 45k after 10 years.

Monthly Expenses at Age 50: Around 90,000 Rs.

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Now based on certain reasonable assumptions we have arrived at monthly requirements at age 40 and age 50. Now we should look at various means by which we can earn regular income at age 40 and 50. As we have assumed that at retirement you would not be working in a fulltime job and doing something which u are passionate about lets for a moment assume that you don’t earn too much money doing things u are passionate about (i know we can argue differently , but given that we are talking about something which would happen after 10 or 20 years it is a fair assumption to make that we have no means of income and have an own house to stay in.)

 

So we need to build a CORPUS of fund ! Now lets estimate the CORPUS of money which we need to get a regular income of Rs 45 k or Rs 90k. Again we need to make some assumptions for this.

Rate of Return Expected from CORPUS : 6 %(conservative ,mix of debt and equity)

  • CORPUS Need to Get 45K/MONTH (Retire at 40) : 90 LAKHS CORPUS
  • Need to Get 90K/MONTH(Retire at 50) : 1 CRORE 60 LAKHS.

So now that we know what kind of money that is needed at 40 and 50 years we need to build this corpus of money and how are we going to do the same. By saving regularly right ? (cant think of any other way:) ) so to have a CORPUS which is close to what i have mentioned what is to be done . We need to save regularly either debt/equity , again for this we need to assume some rate of return .

Average Rate of Return over 10 YEARS and 20 YEARS : 8 %

  • To save 90 lakhs of Corpus to retire at 40 years Monthly saving needed : 48000Rs.
  • To save 1 Crore 60 LAKHS of corpus to retire at 50 years Monthly saving needed : 27000 Rs.

Please note that the above saving requirements are just for retirement planning , am not talking about other expenses like childs education , marriage etc etc…. So did the number shock u ???? It did shock me !!! I remember a line from an ad which said retirement planning the earlier the better … The same number would have been much lesser if i had started saving from 21. Hope this short article gives an insight into retirement planning . Remember we are in a generation where GOVT does not take care of you by paying pensions. I envy my father and all Govt servants who get paid pensions from Govt… !!

comments and feedback at avinashmkb78 (at) gmail.com

Soon we will be “BANGALORED” – So lets be prepared for it rather than being shocked

Thanks for the wonderfull feedback both online and offline on my last Facebook note on my experiences with UPE (http://moneyoga.com/my-experiences-in-up-lucknow-other-india/)and in fact this new note is an outcome of discussion on the same topic and my own reflections.

In my previous note i wrote how low level jobs like those of labourers , delivery boys , cooks etc is slowly seeing “BIMARURED” (My version of “Bangalored” , but workers migrate from Bihar ,UP to down south BIMARU stands for Bihar , Madyapradesh,Rajastha UP  ). This is happening as we see higher education rates down south driving more and more people into white collored  and blue collared jobs creating a vast deficit in lower category of unskilled workers like labourers , delivery boys , cooks etc .  Now this deficit can be met in two ways i.e pay higher wages to get educated people to work for you else import workers from other parts of India   and loh we have our own version of being “Bangalored” called as  ”BIMARUED” ..

 

A deeper look at the similarties in what is happening here and what happened in west is a bit eye opening because on closer look one can see similar characteristics in IT , BPO and other spaces where rising costs of employees in the developed economies forced the companies to innovate and they found answers in India’s educated mass which was raring to work as the opportinties were less during those days . So companies first imported staff via Body Shopping outfits and then soon indian companies come up with the concept of outsourcing and offshore delivery centers.  All this was driven by the quest to control costs hence there was innovations which were thought about and these innvoations are the reason why we as IT professionals are existing today and reaping the benefits.  So at the core of it the drivers for this are “Quest for Lower costs” else IT Gaints from develeoped companies would never have ventured into Outsourcing market…. and we would not having been reaping this benefit of high salaries :)

 

Now lets consider the background , today driven by IT demands we have 1000s of Engineering colleges which have sprung up in all parts of India . Even UP now boasts for 200+ Engineering colleges . I read in the paper today that 2011 will be the year where we will have highest recruitments by IT and due to this competition for  talent we see that companies are paying more and more salaries to their employees . Slowly this is taking us in the higher brackets of costs and we are no longer as cheap as we were few years back. Given this scenerio  it is a matter of time when some innovative companies (next generation Infosys , Wipro)  would soon find a talent pool which is cheaper than India  and then it will lead to our jobs being “BANGALORED” to the new destination.

 

So we may be proud of our achievements in IT industry but we need to remember that this industry is born because of the basic economic need to cut costs after a “BULL run” in employee costs in developed economies  and there is every possibility of the same repeating here again  and then we will start undergoing the changes which people in developed economies went through…

I always love to quote the analogy which i beleive is true for almost all markets  whether it is real estate , stocks , commodities (in fact every economic activity) is when your nieghbour starts giving stock market tip daily then its is time to get out the the market as it is during the peak that we see almost everyone will start behaving like stock pundits and boast of gains made in stock exchange. It is precisely this momemt that one needs to bail out from the stock market as the markets will crash after hitting a peak..

To me it seems like we are into a similar situation with regards to IT industry in India , where we are seeing recruitments in hoards and hoards without looking into quality (how can one explain Infosys picking wup 180 students from a single college)  and combined with rising costs of employees we are headed into a double whammy  of  excessive optimism and new destinations for outsourcing emerging…

 

My point of writing this article is to highlight one fact “Be Prepared for changes” and we are not what we are only because of our capabilities it is also a function of outside forces.

My Experiences in UP -Lucknow -”Other India”

I happened to visit Uttar Pradesh’s capital city -Lucknow on a business visit around 3 months back and ever since have travelled to Lucknow almost every  fortnight . During the last visit i was able to vist Hamirpur District and its adjoining villages for a field study and this experience introduced to me to the “Other India” or rather served as a sample of BIMARU states (Bihar Madya Pradesh Rajastan & UP) and found that the demographics of this place is a complete contrast  to what we see down south   or even in  cities like Gurgoan , Delhi etc.Also  the experiences are different and let me try to summarize them for you …

City View of “Other India”

At the first impression Lucknow  seems like a very nice city specially if you come from the Airport and stay at the Taj hotel . The roads are wide with wonderfull Mayavati parks to give you company. It seems like Mayavati has borrowed the idea of a city from an European city  and the roads are wide with victorian style lamposts  and the famed “Hathi” parks straight out of a european city ..

 

So on the very first impression on a cold (5degrees) night i was impressed with the city  and when i told this to my friend who is based in Lucknow , he said please reserve your comments  as u have not yet seen the city.

In the evening i was taken to the famed Aminabad market (which is like Chikpet area in Bangalore) and then i realised what a contrast it was . It is the most crowded market place which i have seen in India with no place to stand ! .Besides the night market in Taiwan this is the most crowded market place which i have seen in my life  with people pushing each other ..  This is where i saw the biggest “factor” of BIMARU states- Growing population. This biggest factor combined with low education levels seems to have become the bane of BIMARU states and this was clearly visible in cost of every item there  . Tthe citiy has autos and cycle rickshaws driven by human power , but still people prefer to use the cycle rickshaws because Autos cannot compete with the prices which the cycle rickshawala is offering . A 2 km ride in Cycle rickshaw driven by a man is Rs 10 and minde you this is not the final price you may haggle a bit here too. Despite offering this low prices it is not like these rickshawalas make lot of money because there are too many of them , hence a driver has to wait for a long time to get  a sawari .  So in the end a cycle rickshaw wala would make Rs 100/ day after having worked for the whole day in bloody cold weather and some of this money would be needed for upkeep of the rickshaw so in effect he may not even end up with $ 2 (Rs 90) / working day. Compare this with a cost of labour in Bangalore , even a low unskilled labourer for constructing a house costs Rs 250 with the skilled ones going upto Rs 500/ day . After seeing this one can easily related why labourers from Bihari , UP and Rajasthan are flooding the BANGALORE market … Its another version of being “BANGALORED” , where we picked up jobs from US employees because they were too expensive , now its the labourers of BIMARU states taking over from local ones in Bangalore and other cities.

 

The other thing that you notice is the cost of handloom or rathe local handicrafts . Lucknow is famous for its Chikan work and i happened to visit a shop in the aminabad market and there too i found lot of handmade embroidary stuff being sold for dirt cheap prices .  A fully Kurta , Pyjama set with Chikan embriodary  costs Rs 350 ! And it seems that do this Chikan work employees take between 2-3 days  and despite this the final price at a shop is Rs 350 !!!! . This again shows how cheap the labour is .Similarly the food is very cheap compared to Bangalore or any other city which i have been too

 

The second bane of these BIMARU states is partisan politics which dont care about development of people , but only care about there own inflated egos . During my visit a hige 850 ACRE park “KanshiRam park”  was being built at a massive cost of 900 Crore rupees .. during my 3 months of visit i saw the park being bullt and demolished several times . I was told that Mayavati did not like railing which were initially of steel and then were demolished to make way for stone railing and this is happening in a state which has the poorest population !

The most puzzlng aspect of this park was the attempt for first make a park and then plant trees :)  and people doing this had no idea as they attempted to plant palm trees in Lucknow during the cold winter . This lead to all Palm trees dying ! and this massive park does not have even one plant to this day !.Apart from this almost all city roads are plastered with hoardings at every nook and corner . During major events like Ambedkar Jayanthi it seems all advertising hoardings of private companies are taken over by the political parties without notice .

So when government is not bothered about industry why would anyone invest in these states . So this means that more people from here will migrate to greener pastures like Gurgoan or head downsouth where they are welcomed with open arms …

 

Village View of “Other India” 

Having visited several villages in Karnataka and stayed there (my wife’s is from a village in Davanagere district)  i thought that i had seen the village life  but my visit to Hamirpur District and Banda District of UP showed that i was wrong as there exists a different village in BIMARU states .

The roads which connect Lucknow to Hamirpur are a very pale comparision to the kind of Highways which we seen down south . In fact this road is supposed to an NH and despite that there are several Kms of stretch where roads dont exist at all … it is a kuccha road  which has been tarred 5 years back . Road from Hamirpur to villages were better , but thats because these roads were built under ” Pradan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana” .

 

On visiting the villages and the small town of Banda  i found that many villages still don’t have electricity at all  but are covered by mobile networks like Vodafone , Airtel etc. So retailers in these villages  are providing mobile recharge facility at a cost of Rs 10 / charge and then chargers are operated by inverters powered by Generators . Look at the irony as villages spend Rs 150 / month to charge their phones , but dont spend more than Rs 45  on phone calls ..

 

During the time i visited the village it was peak harvesting season and the contrast with a village down south was clearly visible as most of the harvesting is still being done by hand by labourers .  Down south  or even in Punjab most harvesting is now done using machines which are rented for a few hours.

 

The other thing to notice was that there were no schools  and health centers in many of the villages which we visited. The lack of education and awareness is also evident when you visit a retailer selling phone connections and recharges. He calls the shots and decides which plan is best for his customer . The villager trusts the retailer and he is the one who decides whatz best of the villages. So here the operators have mega incentive plans for retailers . This must be quite similar across the country , but here as the lack of awareness is more retailers expliot the villages more .

 

This is my summary of my experiences in the “Other India”. and for those of u who read till here my thanks for having taken time to read this :)

Entreprenuership : Wanna start ur own business -Wait Read this..

During a general chat last week one of my friend (Colleague ) told me that  he is frustrated with the daily routine of the jobs and would like to start a business of their own. Have heard this familiar ruse for umpteen number of friends and relatives over the last 10 years. But i guess people have not really thought of the what are the risks and sacrifices one has to make  to start some business of your own.

Let me share with you an analysis which i made with one of my friend on starting a small restaurant (size of a small Dharsini ). The idea of the analysis was to analyze how easy/ difficult it is to  setup a business at a later stage.
Hope this example analysis will sensitize the readers on the costs / risk / sacrifices one has to make to take up the route of Entrepreneurship. Intention of the article is not to scare you , but to sensitize you to the risk involved in setting up your own business by giving up your cushy jobs. One of the reason why am writing this is because of my relative took upon a business venture without realizing the costs involved in it and is now facing big losses. So lets get sensitized  to the costs/risks involved.

Note : All Data used here is actual data collected 2 years back and are not assumptions
Dharsini in Malleswarm :

The intention was to start a Dharsini for my friend (small quick service restaurant )in Malleswaram Area keeping in mind the daily traffic around 8th Cross – 12 th Cross Malleswaram. The intention was to offer things which are not normally available in a dharsini along with the regular fare at Dharsini

Cost of Real Estate :  Upon an extensive survey we hit upon a really good place in 10th Cross Malleswarm . This place was available to a rent of  36k/ month with 11 month advance and was right on the main road .

Cost of Setup for Cooking & Serving : Once the real estate is taken we need around 2 months before we can start offering food. During this time we need to work on the interiors , cooking setup for this place. This costs on an average of 3 lakhs for a small dharsini.

Cost Of Employees : On discussing and visiting an existing hotel  of a close friend  of my dad realized that to run a small scale dharshini  we need to have 5 full time employee with + 1 head cook.  On an average  head cook would charge around 8-9k / month and the 5 employees need to be paid 4k + accommodation. Even after this it is difficult to retain people with employee turnover being highest at the lower levels. Apart from this we need to provide accomdation of the employees which costs around 5k/ month.  So the total costs of employees is  9k+ 20k+ 5k = 34k
Monthly Costs :  Apart from cost of employees you need to factor other costs  like GAS , Electricity , Mamul to Food Inspectors  and daily cost of rations to cooking food.  This on an average comes to  15k/ month.

All the analysis is fine , but the most important aspect is that you don’t make profits from the day you start your business . This is the fact where people who are starting off on their own make the biggest mistakes. They stretch themselves up  to start the business , but  no business is profitable from day one  because it needs to achieve a critical mass before the fixed costs of operations are supplemented by profits from selling goods.   On visiting and discussing with existing owners of hotels/ dharsini’s   we realized that on an average it takes  5 to 6 months for regular visitors to start coming to a joint and the critical mass of only reached after 18 months (optimistic assuming that u are serving the best food fare).

To make an analysis of costs involved we assumed that during 12 months we will not be able to break-even (i.e start earning enough profits from sale of food to recover fixed costs like rent , salary). Let’s now see the over all costs involved .

Upfront Investment ~ 7.5 lakhs :

  1. 4 lakhs for Advance of Rental
  2. 3 lakhs for Interiors & Cooking setup
  3. BBMP License , Cooking Gas , Electricity connection – 50k

Running Costs Till Break Even period ~ 10.8 lakhs:

  1. Salary Costs -  34k * 12 Months ~  4 lakhs
  2. Rental Costs -  36 *14 months   ~  5 lakhs( 2 months to setup place)
  3. Monthly Expenses – 15*12 months ~ 1.8 lakhs

Thus we need to have   around 19 lakhs of capital to start a small dharsini of your own.

Now to give an idea of the amount of customers who have to visit your restaurant to make it profitable assuming 1 single customer spends Rs 25 in your restaurant  and that your gross profits on this is around 15 Rs (i.e you spend 10 rupees to serve an item which costs 25 Rs). You need to recover Fixed costs of Salary + Rental from the profits we need to serve 4700 customers ~ 160 customers/day.  If you imagine this is  quite a lot of customers to serve on a daily basis , so you breakeven only at this point.
But wait wait … what we are missing something!.
All this does not include your costs , BECAUSE you cannot continue to work with your cushy job  while trying to start a business on your own. ADVICE which i got from several restaurant owners  is that this sort of business cannot be made sucessfull without  fulltime involvement of the owner  because trusting others with management of a business is suicidal . So you need to quit your cushy job (would have done any way right ? remember you are frustrated with ur corporate routine). Now here comes the most difficult part of the equation which needs to be solved. The moment you decide to quit it means that you monthly bank balance will no longer recieve that nice salary cheque of  xx thousand monthly. But starting a business does not mean you starve right ? So u need to keep money aside for your daily expenses which we can safely assume is at-least 30k (remember kids education , house rent , EMIs. Could be higher if u have burden of a big house EMI).

So you need to keep aside money for the same. Assuming an optimist view that business will breakeven in 12 months and you spend 2 months in setting it up  and keeping a good buffer for another 12 months to cover up ur costs we are looking at 26 months * 30k of expense ~ 8 lakhs . So start you need to have a corpus of  19 lakhs + 8 lakhs.

Surprised !  -> BTW i am talking about a small dharshini only here. You may extrapolate this example to any other business which you wanted to get into.  Basic idea of this article is to sensitize one that we are all njoying the benefit of assured salary every month and it is easy to forget about that one . As they say grass is greener on the other side  , but it is not always so as the grass on other side may have many more thorns that one can imagine from here.

So the next time you make a lose statement that this 9 TO 5 Job is frustrating i want to start some business of mine  , keep in mind costs involved.

Reproduced from my blog SmellTheCheeseBlog, my previous blog which was hacked !